FFAC Recap - Week 10: Late & Never
I promised a recap but mostly promised playoff percentages and at the buzzer here we are.
Except you’re not getting a week 10 recap because there’s 3 minutes until noon kickoff Week 11 games as I type this so let’s get into the math, yes?
Playoff Picture
PLAYOFF PERCENTAGES ARE HERE BB
Zach (Clinched, 90% as 1)
Danny (90%, 50% as 2)
Adam (70%, 18% as 3)
Ryan (69% - nice, 20% as 5(!))
Cody (62%, 16% as 4*)
Jay (73%, 20% as 3)
Jason (57%, 15% as 5)
Serrano (35%, 8% as 6)
Stefan (22%, 6% as 6)
Ben (29%, 9% as 5)
Mike (8%)
Fade the flair for Pat, as he’s been eliminated for a while now, riding a painful 6 game losing streak. The ole rookie curse.
*Commish note: Cody has practically an equal chance (12-16%) of landing a 3-7 seed. Very fun
OK so Zach is all but guaranteed that #1 seed, yours truly is in good position for the 2 but not a sure thing, and then the field really starts opening up. Obviously losses to any of the current playoff hopefuls this week really kills their chances, but we’ve had some upsets in the last couple of weeks and theres hope yet. What’s fun about the percentages this week is that the math is anticipating some leap frogging in standings, as seen by Ryan having the highest probability of a 5 seed where Cody has a shot to snag that 4 seed.
As a reminder, the first percentage is your likelihood of MAKING the playoffs, the 2nd percentage is your most likely highest seed, harder to predict your exact final seeding.
That said, Week 11 games are underway, godspeed, I pinky pinky promise a proper recap and previews headed into Week 12.
Bye
